Jild 4 № 1 (2026)
20-41
2026-06-30
Ochiq kirish

Aydar-Arnasoy ko‘llar tizimida suv balansi modellariga va ekotizim barqarorligini baholashga zamonaviy yondashuvlar: tahlil va istiqbollar

Surayyo Sirojiddinova
Luqmon Samiyev
Xumora Jalilova
https://doi.org/10.35938/jhee-2026-1-00002

Qabul qilingan: 2026-06-18

Nashr etilgan: 2026-06-30

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Annotatsiya

Aydar-Arnasoy ko‘llar tizimi (AAKT) Markaziy Osiyodagi eng yirik sun’iy-tabiiy suv-botqoqlik ekotizimlaridan biri bo‘lib, uning gidrologik rejimi Sirdaryo havzasi, Chordara suv ombori, kollektor-drenaj tarmoqlari va iqlim omillari bilan chambarchas bog‘liq. So‘nggi yillarda suv resurslari tanqisligi, yuqori bug‘lanish, minerallashuvning ortishi, kollektor-drenaj suvlari ta’siri hamda iqlim o‘zgarishi ushbu ekotizim barqarorligiga jiddiy tahdid solmoqda. Ushbu sharh maqolada Aydar-Arnasoy ko‘llar tizimida suv balansi modellari va ekotizim barqarorligini baholash bo‘yicha milliy hamda xalqaro tadqiqotlar har tomonlama tahlil qilingan. Tadqiqotda SWAT, WEAP, MIKE SHE, MODFLOW va HEC-HMS kabi zamonaviy gidrologik modellar, GIS va masofadan zondlash texnologiyalari, NDWI indeksi hamda FAO Penman–Monteith bug‘lanish usuli qiyosiy tahlil qilindi. Tahlil natijalari shuni ko‘rsatdiki, bug‘lanish AAKT suv balansidagi asosiy yo‘qotish komponenti hisoblanadi va iqlim isishi sharoitida minerallashuv xavfi ortishi mumkin. Kollektor-drenaj suvlari ko‘l ekotizimining mavjudligini ta’minlasa-da, ular orqali tuzlar va ifloslantiruvchi moddalar kirib kelishi ekologik bosimni kuchaytiradi. GIS va sun’iy yo‘ldosh ma’lumotlari ko‘l yuzasi dinamikasi, qirg‘oq chizig‘i o‘zgarishlari hamda sho‘rlanish zonalarini aniqlashda yuqori samaradorlikni namoyish etdi. Maqolada AAKT uchun integratsiyalashgan GIS–AI–gidrologik modellashtirish platformasini ishlab chiqish istiqbolli yo‘nalish sifatida taklif etilgan.

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Mualliflar haqida

Surayyo Sirojiddinova
surayyo.sirojiddinova@mail.ru
Atrof-muhitni muhofaza qilish va tabiiy resurslardan oqilona foydalanish, Atrof-muhitni muhofaza qilish va tabiatni muhofaza qilish texnologiyalari ilmiy-tadqiqot instituti
Luqmon Samiyev
luqmonsamiev@gmail.com
"Toshkent irrigatsiya va qishloq xo‘jaligini mexanizatsiyalash muhandislari instituti" Milliy tadqiqot universiteti, Atrof-muhitni muhofaza qilish va tabiiy resurslardan oqilona foydalanish, Atrof-muhitni muhofaza qilish va tabiatni muhofaza qilish texnologiyalari ilmiy-tadqiqot instituti
Xumora Jalilova
xumora798911@gmail.com
"Toshkent irrigatsiya va qishloq xo‘jaligini mexanizatsiyalash muhandislari instituti" Milliy tadqiqot universiteti

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Aydar-Arnasoy ko‘llar tizimida suv balansi modellariga va ekotizim barqarorligini baholashga zamonaviy yondashuvlar: tahlil va istiqbollar. (2026). Gidravlika Va Atrof-Muhit Muhandisligi Jurnali, 4(1), 20-41. https://doi.org/10.35938/jhee-2026-1-00002

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